作    者: Tongwei Qiu（仇童伟）, Xinjie Shi, Qinying He（何勤英）, Biliang Luo*（罗必良）

期    刊: 《China Economic Review》

出版时间: 2021   卷: 69  页码: 101680   

论文地址: https://sci-hub.se/10.1016/j.chieco.2021.101680

摘    要

Developing agricultural mechanization services (AMS) is commonly regarded as an important step in the modernization of smallholder farmers in China. However, given the increase in the opportunity costs of agriculture and the high cost of AMS, further study is needed to determine the relationship between AMS and smallholder farmers' exit from agricultural production. In this paper, data from the China Family Panel Survey collected in 2017 and 2019 are used to investigate this issue. Our findings show that the development of AMS reduces the probability that smallholder farmers exit from agricultural production though land abandonment, but increases the probability through land renting-out. Further analysis shows that with the emergence of large farm operators and the increase in land size rented by large farm operators, the development of AMS induces smallholder farmers' exit from agricultural production through both land abandonment and land renting-out. We also find that AMS can increase the market demand for land transfers and the marketization of land rentals, and as land markets develop, AMS induce smallholder farmers' exit through the abandonment of fragmented and distant land plots.

关键词 Exit from agricultural production; Agricultural mechanization services; Land abandonment; Land transfer

责任编辑：董晓玲

审    定：黄  松